Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.790446e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000005 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.184190e-06 0.000004 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.772104e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.436513e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.170491e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.951876e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.789183e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.647740e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.483725e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000021
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.365947e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.254410e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.172250e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000029
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.103693e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000034
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.017983e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000037
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.522268e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000042
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.900703e-07 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000047
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.360534e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000009 0.000021 0.000052
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.875415e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000022 0.000058
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.508900e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000024 0.000066
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.162186e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000025 0.000075
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.676694e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000026 0.000080
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 6.327643e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000027 0.000088
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 5.968960e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000028 0.000096